Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.1%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 57 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Koivu 54.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 74-72 in 146 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 65.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Tavares
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
74
-
72
(146 meetings)
74
72
Tavares
Koivu
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
36
21
Tavares
Koivu
57 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
18
31
Tavares
Koivu
49 total
Neutral Zone
Even
20
20
Tavares
Koivu
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
54.0% (9,465)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
58.6% (2,100)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
48.9% (1,688)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Tavares
Koivu
Home
56.1% (10,503)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Tavares
Koivu
P1
55.0%
53.5%
P2
54.1%
54.6%
P3
54.1%
54.0%
OT
55.9%
56.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:00 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |