John Tavares vs Nicklas Backstrom
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.1%). Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Backstrom 50.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 61.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 55.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 50.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Tavares
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tavares
Backstrom
Last 5: Tavares 4-1 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
49.0% (496)
+2.5%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
55.6% (151)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
57.9% (38)
-21.2%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Tavares shoots left. Backstrom is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Tavares
Backstrom
Home
52.8% (781)
53.5% (368)
Away
49.9% (804)
48.3% (323)
By Period
Tavares
Backstrom
P1
52.8%
49.1%
P2
52.1%
51.0%
P3
48.7%
53.5%
OT
63.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 13:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |