John Tavares vs Nicklas Backstrom
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Backstrom 51.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 58.9%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 53.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 57.3%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Tavares
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tavares
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Tavares
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
53.2% (77)
+6.0%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
50.0% (6)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
0.0% (1)
+42.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Backstrom is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Tavares
Backstrom
Home
57.5% (668)
54.5% (55)
Away
61.1% (684)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Tavares
Backstrom
P1
58.0%
50.0%
P2
60.1%
52.9%
P3
61.0%
55.0%
OT
27.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |