John Tavares vs Nicklas Backstrom
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.9% vs Backstrom 49.3% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 75.0%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 71.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 73.3%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Tavares
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tavares
Backstrom
Last 5: Tavares 1-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
4
Tavares
Backstrom
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (861)
50.0% (854)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.5% (226)
44.6% (148)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
50.0% (46)
+1.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Tavares shoots left. Backstrom is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Tavares
Backstrom
Home
58.1% (559)
52.2% (506)
Away
52.4% (557)
46.5% (542)
By Period
Tavares
Backstrom
P1
57.6%
45.3%
P2
55.5%
46.9%
P3
52.0%
55.5%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |