Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Antropov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Antropov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Antropov 44.3% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 54.2%
Defensive zone
Antropov 59.4%
Neutral zone
Antropov 53.8%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Tavares
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tavares
Antropov
Last 5: Tavares 2-3 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
0
1
Tavares
Antropov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
1
2
Tavares
Antropov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Antropov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
43.8% (486)
+7.7%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
49.4% (87)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
38.6% (70)
-1.9%
On even strength, Tavares has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Tavares shoots left. Antropov is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Tavares
Antropov
Home
52.8% (781)
45.5% (323)
Away
49.9% (804)
41.3% (329)
By Period
Tavares
Antropov
P1
52.8%
45.0%
P2
52.1%
45.5%
P3
48.7%
40.5%
OT
63.6%
22.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Dec 20, 2011 | OT | 03:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |