Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Antropov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Antropov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Antropov 45.3% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Antropov 63.3%
Defensive zone
Antropov 62.3%
Neutral zone
Antropov 70.8%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Tavares
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Tavares
Antropov
Last 9: Tavares 3-6 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
0
3
Tavares
Antropov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
1
3
Tavares
Antropov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Antropov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
45.7% (1,209)
+8.3%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
45.5% (191)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
39.0% (77)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Antropov is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Tavares
Antropov
Home
56.1% (10,503)
48.0% (704)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
42.4% (786)
By Period
Tavares
Antropov
P1
55.0%
42.8%
P2
54.1%
47.0%
P3
54.1%
45.6%
OT
55.9%
38.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Dec 20, 2011 | OT | 03:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |