Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lindberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Lindberg 50.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 70.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 84.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Tavares
Lindberg
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Tavares
Lindberg
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Lindberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
1
Tavares
Lindberg
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
3
Tavares
Lindberg
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Lindberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lindberg
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
50.0% (1,186)
+4.0%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
57.8% (45)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
44.4% (36)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindberg shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Lindberg is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (799).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lindberg
Home
56.1% (10,503)
50.9% (613)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
49.4% (654)
By Period
Tavares
Lindberg
P1
55.0%
50.0%
P2
54.1%
53.4%
P3
54.1%
46.7%
OT
55.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Lindberg
48.0%▲
45.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Oscar Lindberg |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Oscar Lindberg |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Oscar Lindberg |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Oscar Lindberg |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2015 | OT | 03:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Oscar Lindberg |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |