Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dupuis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Dupuis 47.0% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 72.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 74.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Tavares
Dupuis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tavares
Dupuis
Last 6: Tavares 5-1 Dupuis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Dupuis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dupuis
0
1
Tavares
Dupuis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Dupuis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Dupuis
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
51.3% (80)
+0.2%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
23.1% (13)
+28.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
36.8% (19)
-0.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dupuis shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Tavares shoots left. Dupuis is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Tavares
Dupuis
Home
52.8% (781)
53.3% (60)
Away
49.9% (804)
34.5% (55)
By Period
Tavares
Dupuis
P1
52.8%
40.6%
P2
52.1%
40.6%
P3
48.7%
49.0%
OT
63.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Dupuis
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Pascal Dupuis |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |