Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dupuis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Dupuis 44.8% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 70.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 83.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Tavares
Dupuis
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Tavares
Dupuis
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Dupuis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Dupuis
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dupuis
0
1
Tavares
Dupuis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Dupuis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Dupuis
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
45.6% (136)
+8.4%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
33.3% (24)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
40.4% (47)
+10.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dupuis shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Dupuis is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Tavares
Dupuis
Home
56.1% (10,503)
50.5% (101)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
34.9% (109)
By Period
Tavares
Dupuis
P1
55.0%
39.7%
P2
54.1%
40.0%
P3
54.1%
47.0%
OT
55.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Dupuis
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Pascal Dupuis |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pascal Dupuis |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Pascal Dupuis |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |