Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.4% vs Bergeron 56.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 66.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Tavares
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Tavares
Bergeron
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
8
Tavares
Bergeron
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
6
Tavares
Bergeron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (992)
57.3% (1,041)
-5.2%
Power Play
53.7% (294)
60.4% (149)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
51.3% (234)
-1.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Tavares is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Tavares shoots left. Bergeron is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bergeron
Home
51.7% (679)
59.8% (682)
Away
53.4% (640)
53.8% (757)
By Period
Tavares
Bergeron
P1
52.2%
58.2%
P2
49.3%
58.1%
P3
56.3%
54.5%
OT
57.1%
42.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 1 | 01:11 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |