Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 53.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 66.8%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 56.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Tavares
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Tavares
Bergeron
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Tavares
Bergeron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
3
Tavares
Bergeron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Tavares
Bergeron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
63.8% (1,102)
-2.9%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
65.3% (288)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
47.6% (210)
+0.0%
On power play, Bergeron has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bergeron
Home
63.5% (684)
62.5% (882)
Away
57.6% (658)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Tavares
Bergeron
P1
60.3%
62.5%
P2
60.4%
62.7%
P3
60.1%
60.6%
OT
92.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |