Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Brown 56.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 88.6%
Defensive zone
Brown 76.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 54.4%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Tavares
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tavares
Brown
Last 5: Tavares 3-2 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Brown
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
2
Tavares
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
61.3% (336)
-0.4%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
50.0% (4)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
45.9% (74)
+1.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Brown is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Tavares
Brown
Home
63.5% (684)
61.1% (180)
Away
57.6% (658)
56.4% (234)
By Period
Tavares
Brown
P1
60.3%
57.5%
P2
60.4%
58.5%
P3
60.1%
59.2%
OT
92.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |