Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.4% vs Elias 46.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 71.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 79.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Tavares
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Tavares
Elias
Last 5: Tavares 5-0 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Elias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Elias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (716)
40.0% (100)
+8.6%
Power Play
52.4% (208)
53.1% (49)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
35.7% (14)
-2.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Tavares is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Tavares shoots left. Elias is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Tavares
Elias
Home
50.7% (448)
46.2% (78)
Away
48.1% (482)
41.2% (85)
By Period
Tavares
Elias
P1
52.8%
44.0%
P2
51.4%
50.0%
P3
43.7%
36.4%
OT
54.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 03:31 | Defensive | John Tavares |