Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 44 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Elias 42.7% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 69-44 in 113 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 96.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 76.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 93.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Tavares
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
69
-
44
(113 meetings)
69
44
Tavares
Elias
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
32
12
Tavares
Elias
44 total
Defensive Zone
Even
10
10
Tavares
Elias
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
27
22
Tavares
Elias
49 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
42.3% (2,591)
+11.7%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
48.4% (405)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
36.0% (367)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Tavares
Elias
Home
56.1% (10,503)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Tavares
Elias
P1
55.0%
41.1%
P2
54.1%
43.1%
P3
54.1%
43.0%
OT
55.9%
43.2%
Final 5 min
54.8%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 4, 2013 | OT | 00:11 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 4, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |