Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Regin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Regin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Regin 44.3% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Regin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Regin 59.3%
Defensive zone
Regin 70.6%
Neutral zone
Regin 70.3%
Result
Peter Regin favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Tavares
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Tavares
Regin
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Regin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Regin
1
3
Tavares
Regin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Regin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
45.8% (836)
+8.2%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
39.2% (74)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
24.7% (73)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Regin is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Tavares
Regin
Home
56.1% (10,503)
42.6% (533)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
45.1% (450)
By Period
Tavares
Regin
P1
55.0%
46.7%
P2
54.1%
43.9%
P3
54.1%
40.8%
OT
55.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Peter Regin |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Peter Regin |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Peter Regin |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |