John Tavares vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Dubois 49.7% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 71.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 82.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Tavares
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tavares
Dubois
Last 5: Tavares 4-1 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Dubois
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Tavares
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
49.3% (842)
+9.9%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
57.1% (35)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
55.6% (9)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Tavares
Dubois
Home
57.5% (668)
51.0% (445)
Away
61.1% (684)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Tavares
Dubois
P1
58.0%
50.3%
P2
60.1%
49.5%
P3
61.0%
49.0%
OT
27.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
60.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |