Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Kupari 50.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Tavares
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tavares
Kupari
Last 7: Tavares 5-2 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Kupari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Tavares
Kupari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Kupari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
50.5% (1,275)
+3.5%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
43.5% (23)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
50.4% (139)
+0.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Kupari is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kupari
Home
56.1% (10,503)
51.4% (782)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
49.2% (655)
By Period
Tavares
Kupari
P1
55.0%
49.9%
P2
54.1%
48.5%
P3
54.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |