Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Kupari 44.4% (+18.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 80.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 86.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Tavares
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tavares
Kupari
Last 5: Tavares 4-1 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Tavares
Kupari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Kupari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
42.9% (275)
+18.0%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
35.7% (14)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
42.9% (14)
+4.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Kupari is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kupari
Home
63.5% (684)
46.6% (163)
Away
57.6% (658)
37.9% (140)
By Period
Tavares
Kupari
P1
60.3%
38.7%
P2
60.4%
42.5%
P3
60.1%
47.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |