Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Rakell 44.9% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 68.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 62.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Tavares
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Tavares
Rakell
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Tavares
Rakell
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Rakell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Rakell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
44.4% (1,864)
+9.6%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
50.3% (197)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
21.7% (23)
+28.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,334).
Home / Away
Tavares
Rakell
Home
56.1% (10,503)
46.7% (1,041)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
42.7% (1,044)
By Period
Tavares
Rakell
P1
55.0%
45.6%
P2
54.1%
42.1%
P3
54.1%
46.4%
OT
55.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |