Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Rakell 48.0% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 63.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 58.2%
Neutral zone
Rakell 59.2%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Tavares
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tavares
Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
1
Tavares
Rakell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
45.3% (75)
+15.6%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
50.0% (4)
+10.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Rakell is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Tavares
Rakell
Home
63.5% (684)
45.7% (46)
Away
57.6% (658)
45.5% (33)
By Period
Tavares
Rakell
P1
60.3%
33.3%
P2
60.4%
40.0%
P3
60.1%
63.6%
OT
92.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |