Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.7% vs Rakell 47.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 55.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 76.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Tavares
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tavares
Rakell
Last 5: Tavares 3-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
1
Tavares
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Rakell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Rakell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,239)
44.0% (159)
+8.9%
Power Play
54.7% (309)
53.1% (64)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (178)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Tavares is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (602).
Tavares shoots left. Rakell is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Tavares
Rakell
Home
55.0% (864)
45.2% (157)
Away
50.8% (862)
49.3% (69)
By Period
Tavares
Rakell
P1
51.8%
50.0%
P2
51.4%
40.5%
P3
54.5%
50.8%
OT
66.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |