Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Nash 48.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 30-21 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 62.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 80.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Tavares
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
21
(51 meetings)
30
21
Tavares
Nash
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
16
6
Tavares
Nash
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
9
13
Tavares
Nash
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
2
Tavares
Nash
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
48.7% (4,621)
+5.3%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
51.0% (249)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
44.9% (550)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nash
Home
56.1% (10,503)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Tavares
Nash
P1
55.0%
49.0%
P2
54.1%
47.9%
P3
54.1%
48.0%
OT
55.9%
68.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Riley Nash |