Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Nash 51.7% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.9%
Defensive zone
Nash 62.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 77.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Tavares
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Tavares
Nash
Last 9: Tavares 6-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
0
Tavares
Nash
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Tavares
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
54.1% (292)
+6.8%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
57.1% (7)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
45.9% (98)
+1.7%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nash
Home
63.5% (684)
56.3% (183)
Away
57.6% (658)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Tavares
Nash
P1
60.3%
58.9%
P2
60.4%
51.0%
P3
60.1%
46.5%
OT
92.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Riley Nash |