Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 53.8% vs Nash 49.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 69.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 58.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Tavares
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tavares
Nash
Last 5: Tavares 2-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Tavares
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,077)
50.7% (341)
+3.3%
Power Play
54.5% (275)
58.3% (24)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
24.0% (25)
+26.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Tavares is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (476).
Tavares shoots left. Nash is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nash
Home
56.8% (655)
50.0% (200)
Away
51.6% (715)
48.9% (190)
By Period
Tavares
Nash
P1
54.1%
47.1%
P2
53.9%
60.6%
P3
54.3%
38.1%
OT
54.2%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |