Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.2% vs Sheahan 52.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 69.4%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 72.5%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 60.3%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Tavares
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Tavares
Sheahan
Last 6: Tavares 1-5 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Sheahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
5
Tavares
Sheahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,201)
52.6% (544)
+0.4%
Power Play
61.5% (262)
60.0% (10)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (65)
50.7% (134)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Tavares shoots left. Sheahan is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Tavares
Sheahan
Home
57.5% (762)
51.9% (376)
Away
51.4% (766)
52.9% (312)
By Period
Tavares
Sheahan
P1
54.5%
57.6%
P2
53.2%
48.5%
P3
55.5%
52.8%
OT
60.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |