Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 79.5%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 54.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Tavares
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tavares
Sheahan
Last 6: Tavares 3-3 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Sheahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
3
Tavares
Sheahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
50.7% (357)
+10.2%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
50.0% (8)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
40.2% (194)
+7.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Sheahan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Tavares
Sheahan
Home
63.5% (684)
44.8% (248)
Away
57.6% (658)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Tavares
Sheahan
P1
60.3%
46.2%
P2
60.4%
50.5%
P3
60.1%
44.7%
OT
92.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |