Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 53.8% vs Getzlaf 49.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 56.5%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 70.7%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 58.3%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Tavares
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Tavares
Getzlaf
Last 8: Tavares 3-5 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
4
Tavares
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,077)
48.1% (939)
+5.9%
Power Play
54.5% (275)
56.8% (222)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
41.4% (58)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Tavares is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (476).
Tavares shoots left. Getzlaf is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Tavares
Getzlaf
Home
56.8% (655)
49.4% (591)
Away
51.6% (715)
49.4% (628)
By Period
Tavares
Getzlaf
P1
54.1%
50.0%
P2
53.9%
47.4%
P3
54.3%
50.6%
OT
54.2%
58.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |