Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.4%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 80.9%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 59.8%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Tavares
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Tavares
Getzlaf
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
2
Tavares
Getzlaf
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
6
Tavares
Getzlaf
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
3
5
Tavares
Getzlaf
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
52.5% (772)
+8.4%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
60.8% (153)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
48.0% (100)
-0.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Tavares
Getzlaf
Home
63.5% (684)
56.0% (557)
Away
57.6% (658)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Tavares
Getzlaf
P1
60.3%
52.2%
P2
60.4%
53.0%
P3
60.1%
54.9%
OT
92.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |