Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.1% vs Koivu 50.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 70.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 83.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 69.5%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Tavares
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Tavares
Koivu
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
1
Tavares
Koivu
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Tavares
Koivu
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (871)
50.4% (912)
-1.7%
Power Play
49.8% (243)
59.1% (44)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
46.8% (111)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Tavares is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Tavares shoots left. Koivu is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Tavares
Koivu
Home
50.0% (542)
51.5% (610)
Away
48.2% (587)
49.0% (457)
By Period
Tavares
Koivu
P1
52.2%
48.5%
P2
50.0%
51.5%
P3
45.1%
51.1%
OT
48.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:54 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |