Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Koivu 51.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 22-21 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 75.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 54.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Tavares
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
21
(43 meetings)
22
21
Tavares
Koivu
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
10
1
Tavares
Koivu
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
10
Tavares
Koivu
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
9
10
Tavares
Koivu
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
51.9% (3,221)
+2.1%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
59.3% (437)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
48.0% (764)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Tavares
Koivu
Home
56.1% (10,503)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Tavares
Koivu
P1
55.0%
51.1%
P2
54.1%
52.6%
P3
54.1%
51.8%
OT
55.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:54 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |