Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.7% vs Aho 47.1% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 77.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Tavares
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Tavares
Aho
Last 7: Tavares 4-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Tavares
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,239)
45.5% (165)
+7.4%
Power Play
54.7% (309)
42.9% (7)
+11.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Tavares shoots left. Aho is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Tavares
Aho
Home
55.0% (864)
50.6% (79)
Away
50.8% (862)
40.9% (93)
By Period
Tavares
Aho
P1
51.8%
45.9%
P2
51.4%
48.0%
P3
54.5%
41.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |