Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Gionta 41.2% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 20-10 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 98.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 78.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 94.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Tavares
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
10
(30 meetings)
20
10
Tavares
Gionta
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
1
Tavares
Gionta
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
3
8
Tavares
Gionta
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
9
1
Tavares
Gionta
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
40.6% (1,902)
+13.4%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
61.5% (26)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
40.1% (292)
+10.5%
On even strength, Tavares has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Home / Away
Tavares
Gionta
Home
56.1% (10,503)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Tavares
Gionta
P1
55.0%
40.8%
P2
54.1%
41.8%
P3
54.1%
39.8%
OT
55.9%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2016 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |