Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Schaller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.1% vs Schaller 43.4% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.7%
Defensive zone
Schaller 62.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 63.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Tavares
Schaller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tavares
Schaller
Last 5: Tavares 3-2 Schaller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Schaller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schaller
0
2
Tavares
Schaller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Schaller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Schaller
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,121)
40.0% (170)
+12.4%
Power Play
51.3% (304)
100.0% (2)
-48.7%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
28.6% (14)
+30.2%
On power play, Schaller has a +48.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schaller shoots left. Tavares is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Tavares shoots left. Schaller is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Tavares
Schaller
Home
56.5% (731)
33.3% (36)
Away
47.8% (711)
41.3% (150)
By Period
Tavares
Schaller
P1
56.1%
38.1%
P2
50.3%
44.6%
P3
50.5%
37.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |