Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Schaller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Schaller 43.0% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 52.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Tavares
Schaller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tavares
Schaller
Last 6: Tavares 4-2 Schaller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Schaller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schaller
0
2
Tavares
Schaller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Schaller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Schaller
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
42.2% (419)
+11.8%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
66.7% (12)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
36.9% (111)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schaller shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Schaller is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Tavares
Schaller
Home
56.1% (10,503)
42.5% (240)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
41.1% (302)
By Period
Tavares
Schaller
P1
55.0%
42.6%
P2
54.1%
42.0%
P3
54.1%
39.9%
OT
55.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |