Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Sestito 46.0% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 96.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 79.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 90.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Tavares
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Tavares
Sestito
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
2
Tavares
Sestito
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Sestito
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Sestito
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
45.7% (457)
+8.3%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
55.6% (9)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
34.2% (38)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Sestito is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Tavares
Sestito
Home
56.1% (10,503)
48.0% (273)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Tavares
Sestito
P1
55.0%
42.5%
P2
54.1%
42.1%
P3
54.1%
52.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 2 | 16:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 1 | 11:26 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |