Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Pyatt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Pyatt 46.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Pyatt leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.5%
Defensive zone
Pyatt 79.9%
Neutral zone
Pyatt 61.8%
Result
Tom Pyatt favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Tavares
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Tavares
Pyatt
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Pyatt
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pyatt
1
4
Tavares
Pyatt
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pyatt
1
3
Tavares
Pyatt
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
46.8% (231)
+4.7%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
41.7% (12)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
35.3% (34)
+1.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Tavares shoots left. Pyatt is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Tavares
Pyatt
Home
52.8% (781)
44.0% (175)
Away
49.9% (804)
48.1% (106)
By Period
Tavares
Pyatt
P1
52.8%
41.4%
P2
52.1%
47.1%
P3
48.7%
48.0%
OT
63.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |