Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Pyatt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Pyatt 46.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Pyatt leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.9%
Defensive zone
Pyatt 83.5%
Neutral zone
Pyatt 63.6%
Result
Tom Pyatt favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Tavares
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Tavares
Pyatt
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
2
Tavares
Pyatt
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pyatt
3
6
Tavares
Pyatt
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pyatt
1
5
Tavares
Pyatt
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
47.2% (922)
+6.8%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
55.0% (20)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
42.0% (174)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Pyatt is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Home / Away
Tavares
Pyatt
Home
56.1% (10,503)
48.0% (598)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
45.0% (524)
By Period
Tavares
Pyatt
P1
55.0%
47.1%
P2
54.1%
47.6%
P3
54.1%
45.2%
OT
55.9%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |