Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 53.8% vs Wingels 45.6% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 53.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 66.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Tavares
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tavares
Wingels
Last 5: Tavares 3-2 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Wingels
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
2
Tavares
Wingels
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Wingels
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,077)
48.3% (60)
+5.7%
Power Play
54.5% (275)
25.0% (4)
+29.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
27.6% (29)
+22.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Tavares is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (476).
Tavares shoots left. Wingels is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Tavares
Wingels
Home
56.8% (655)
39.0% (41)
Away
51.6% (715)
42.3% (52)
By Period
Tavares
Wingels
P1
54.1%
39.4%
P2
53.9%
38.9%
P3
54.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | John Tavares |