Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Wingels 44.4% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 68.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 87.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Tavares
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Tavares
Wingels
Last 9: Tavares 7-2 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Wingels
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wingels
1
2
Tavares
Wingels
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Wingels
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
44.2% (871)
+9.8%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
43.2% (74)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
41.3% (109)
+9.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Wingels is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Tavares
Wingels
Home
56.1% (10,503)
44.4% (462)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
43.4% (592)
By Period
Tavares
Wingels
P1
55.0%
45.1%
P2
54.1%
40.9%
P3
54.1%
46.0%
OT
55.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |