Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Konecny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Konecny 41.7% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Konecny 52.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 80.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Tavares
Konecny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Tavares
Konecny
Last 9: Tavares 5-4 Konecny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Konecny
1
2
Tavares
Konecny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Konecny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Konecny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Konecny
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
39.7% (360)
+14.3%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
37.7% (61)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
46.7% (30)
+3.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konecny shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Konecny is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Tavares
Konecny
Home
56.1% (10,503)
36.8% (239)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
43.4% (212)
By Period
Tavares
Konecny
P1
55.0%
38.0%
P2
54.1%
37.3%
P3
54.1%
47.0%
OT
55.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Konecny
36.0%▼
40.0%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Travis Konecny |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Travis Konecny |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |