Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Konecny shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Konecny 44.5% (+19.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Konecny 62.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 64.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Tavares
Konecny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Konecny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Konecny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Konecny
0
1
Tavares
Konecny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Konecny
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
38.5% (78)
+19.2%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
50.0% (18)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
0.0% (4)
+56.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konecny shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Konecny is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Tavares
Konecny
Home
59.7% (610)
42.3% (52)
Away
57.0% (698)
35.4% (48)
By Period
Tavares
Konecny
P1
57.2%
45.2%
P2
58.5%
29.8%
P3
59.4%
52.4%
OT
46.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Konecny
34.0%▼
38.5%
39.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Travis Konecny |