Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Brouwer 50.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 67.6%
Defensive zone
Brouwer 50.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Tavares
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Tavares
Brouwer
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
1
Tavares
Brouwer
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
6
9
Tavares
Brouwer
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
50.3% (702)
+3.7%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
53.7% (551)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
46.6% (412)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Brouwer is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Tavares
Brouwer
Home
56.1% (10,503)
53.5% (854)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Tavares
Brouwer
P1
55.0%
51.4%
P2
54.1%
49.3%
P3
54.1%
51.2%
OT
55.9%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2018 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | John Tavares |