Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Bozak 52.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 61.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 50.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Tavares
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Tavares
Bozak
Last 10: Tavares 1-9 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
5
Tavares
Bozak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Tavares
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Tavares
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
51.7% (913)
-0.2%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
55.9% (211)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
54.9% (51)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Tavares is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Tavares shoots left. Bozak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bozak
Home
52.8% (781)
52.8% (615)
Away
49.9% (804)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Tavares
Bozak
P1
52.8%
52.5%
P2
52.1%
51.1%
P3
48.7%
55.2%
OT
63.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |