Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Bozak 46.2% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 54.7%
Defensive zone
Bozak 87.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 83.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 84.6%
15.4%
84.6%
Tavares
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Tavares
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Tavares
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Tavares
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
46.7% (338)
+14.2%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
50.0% (6)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
32.6% (43)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bozak
Home
63.5% (684)
47.9% (194)
Away
57.6% (658)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Tavares
Bozak
P1
60.3%
40.2%
P2
60.4%
51.4%
P3
60.1%
43.1%
OT
92.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |