Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Rask 50.4% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 52.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Tavares
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
50.6% (172)
+10.3%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
50.0% (4)
+10.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Rask is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Tavares
Rask
Home
63.5% (684)
53.7% (82)
Away
57.6% (658)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Tavares
Rask
P1
60.3%
56.0%
P2
60.4%
47.5%
P3
60.1%
49.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |