Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Drouin wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 43.2% vs Nash 48.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Drouin 91.6%
Defensive zone
Drouin 81.4%
Neutral zone
Drouin 81.8%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Drouin
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
18
(25 meetings)
7
18
Drouin
Nash
Last 10: Drouin 3-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
4
0
Drouin
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
6
Drouin
Nash
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
3
12
Drouin
Nash
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (869)
47.7% (801)
-6.2%
Power Play
47.9% (167)
51.2% (41)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
52.3% (107)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Drouin is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Drouin shoots left. Nash is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Drouin
Nash
Home
42.8% (502)
50.1% (467)
Away
42.3% (549)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Drouin
Nash
P1
44.0%
52.1%
P2
39.7%
44.9%
P3
44.4%
47.3%
OT
37.5%
63.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 09:16 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |