Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Drouin wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.6% vs Nash 48.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 21-11 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Drouin 87.6%
Defensive zone
Drouin 56.3%
Neutral zone
Drouin 69.9%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Drouin
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
21
(32 meetings)
11
21
Drouin
Nash
Last 10: Drouin 3-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
8
1
Drouin
Nash
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
7
Drouin
Nash
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
3
13
Drouin
Nash
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,828)
48.7% (4,621)
-5.2%
Power Play
48.3% (387)
51.0% (249)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
44.9% (550)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Drouin is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (850).
Drouin shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Drouin
Nash
Home
44.0% (1,043)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
44.6% (1,195)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Drouin
Nash
P1
45.9%
49.0%
P2
42.1%
47.9%
P3
45.1%
48.0%
OT
47.1%
68.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
48.0%▼
51.0%
44.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 3, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 09:16 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Riley Nash |