Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Drouin wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 43.2% vs Johansen 55.1% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 87.8%
Defensive zone
Drouin 81.8%
Neutral zone
Drouin 86.8%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Drouin
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Drouin
Johansen
Last 6: Drouin 0-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
6
Drouin
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (869)
55.9% (1,157)
-14.4%
Power Play
47.9% (167)
56.5% (237)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
43.3% (67)
-3.3%
On even strength, Johansen has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Drouin is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Drouin shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Home / Away
Drouin
Johansen
Home
42.8% (502)
55.8% (733)
Away
42.3% (549)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Drouin
Johansen
P1
44.0%
53.5%
P2
39.7%
55.9%
P3
44.4%
57.2%
OT
37.5%
47.4%
Final 5 min
42.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |