Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 48.8% vs Johansen 52.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 70.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 64.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Drouin
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Drouin
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (58)
49.4% (1,010)
-1.1%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
62.3% (236)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
67.2% (67)
-67.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +67.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Drouin is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Drouin shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Drouin
Johansen
Home
45.8% (24)
54.7% (655)
Away
47.6% (42)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Drouin
Johansen
P1
46.2%
52.2%
P2
43.5%
50.7%
P3
52.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |