Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Drouin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drouin wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.5% vs Bennett 47.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Drouin leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 58.5%
Defensive zone
Bennett 76.0%
Neutral zone
Bennett 71.1%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Drouin
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Drouin
Bennett
Last 10: Drouin 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
0
Drouin
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
3
0
Drouin
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
4
Drouin
Bennett
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,824)
46.8% (5,683)
-3.3%
Power Play
48.3% (387)
53.7% (555)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
41.8% (256)
-2.7%
On power play, Bennett has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Drouin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Drouin shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Drouin
Bennett
Home
44.0% (1,041)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
44.5% (1,193)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Drouin
Bennett
P1
45.9%
48.0%
P2
42.0%
46.5%
P3
45.0%
46.9%
OT
47.1%
52.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |